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How Good Will Tasters Say This Wine Is?

From acidity, sugar, sulphur, alcohol and other lab measurements, what score will a tasting panel give this white wine? Lab tests are cheap and quick, and panels aren't.

Use caseBiologyPredictionModel evaluation

The table

4,898 Portuguese vinho verde white wines with eleven lab measurements and the median score from expert tasters. It's in Welt's research catalogue as White Wine Quality, 4,898 rows by 12 columns, licensed CC BY 4.0. The catalogue measures its signal at 0.45. At 4,898 rows and 11 features, TabICLv2 and Kumo Tabular Medium take the table as it is. The others can't take a table this size, so the walkthrough leaves them out.

Walkthrough

  1. Load it from the catalogue

    Find the table, read its recorded target and print the column names.

    import pandas as pd
    from welt import Client
    
    with Client() as client:
        item = client.research_datasets(q="white wine quality", limit=1)["items"][0]
        info = client.research_dataset(item["id"])
        data = client.load_research_dataset(item["id"])
    
    target = info["targets"][0]
    target = target["name"] if isinstance(target, dict) else target
    print([column["name"] for column in info["schema"]], target)
  2. Pick the rows

    Set aside 20 rows to predict at the end, and keep the rest for the models to learn from.

    known = data.dropna(subset=[target])
    new_rows = known.sample(20, random_state=1)
    table = known.drop(new_rows.index)
  3. Compare the models and predict

    The models compete on the same folds against a simple guess, then the top-ranked one is fitted on the whole table. RMSE and MAE are average errors in the target's own units, so lower is better. The last table puts each prediction next to the real answer.

    with Client() as client:
        evaluation = client.evaluate(table, target, task="regression", seed=7,
                                     models=["tabicl-v2", "kumo-medium"])
        model = evaluation.fit()
    
    print(evaluation.summary()[["name", "rank", "rmse_mean", "mae_mean"]])
    features = new_rows.drop(columns=target)
    print(pd.DataFrame({"actual": new_rows[target].values, "predicted": model.predict(features)}))

What you get

A predicted scoreFor any wine with lab results.
What drives qualityCompare models to see which measurements matter.
A well-known tableCompare with many published results.

Try it

Use Open with to run the research datasets notebook in Colab, Kaggle or Jupyter and search for "white wine quality", or run the code above after pip install "welt-client[parquet]".